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This lot seems to be revealing a bit more about their stuff. http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_14493616 http://www.tabula.com
On Tue, 02 Mar 2010 11:22:07 +0000, Symon wrote: >This lot seems to be revealing a bit more about their stuff. >http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_14493616 >http://www.tabula.com Thanks for the heads-up. Any startup may simply vanish without trace in a puff of hot air, but this lot look as though they may have one of the few really innovative and potentially disruptive ideas to hit FPGAs in recent times. Commercial reality being what it is, it is unlikely that hobbyists and small design shops will be able to get their hands on real tools and devices at a sensible price for quite some time. But I reckon it's still worth watching. -- Jonathan Bromley______________________________
All, Yes, Tabula is in the sunshine of the vulture capital technology rollout phase. I like the FPGA Journal's characterization of the technology announcements: been there, done that, and when you ship the parts, let me know. However, it is a necessary part of doing business that you attempt to generate excitement for a new product. I will suggest to you that you go back and read all the hype, up until now, as it does tell a better story of what is going on. For example, originally, the technology was better in cost, speed, and power (how they got their funding). Then, after awhile, cost, maybe speed (in some applications), and power. In the latest release, we see cost, maybe speed, and power will be the same or worse. "There ain't no such thing as a free lunch" (TANSTAAFL), and if you can context switch at 1.6 GHz, with 8 time slices, then you have a 200 MHz fabric which is somewhat smaller (not 8, but perhaps 6?) than a comparable run of the mill FPGA device. With the added dynamic power (CV^2F), since the capacitance of the interconnect is based on its length, and their claim is that the length of interconnect in their devices is 1/5th that of a comparable device, we can suppose that C is 1/5th. Given that they ALWAYS switch at 1.6 GHz some nodes, and they have announced that power is not one of the benefits any longer, we can pretty much conclude that because of the time slicing, the improvement in interconnect didn't pan out and result in a cost savings, but came in as a wash, or perhaps worse. In order to operate at 1.6 GHz, they have to have all the transistors be really fast, which means really leaky, so perhaps their static power is out of control, as well. In a comparable 'old style' FPGA device, many transistors may be lower leakage, as they don't switch that fast. Of course, we may have 5 times as many devices as the Tabula chip, but they may have 10 times less leakage. Is there a targeted market? You bet, they have aimed at the "networking high end" which is the bread and butter of the big players! Will they actually meet the requirements? What is the reliability? What is their soft error behavior? What happens when the design doesn't work: how do you debug the "magic" they perform by re-interpreting your HDL code? It will be interesting: is this just an excuse to buy really nice cars, and get fat paychecks, until it all blows up? Or, is this a novel, and game-changing technology? Having been part of the SIlicon Valley community since 1978, this is a very familiar tune, and how it plays out may not be such a surprise to anyone (except the investors). I have to say, they have a stellar group of people, ex-Xilinx, and ex- Altera both. Austin
On Mar 2, 8:39=A0am, austin <aus...@xilinx.com> wrote: > Is there a targeted market? =A0You bet, they have aimed at the > "networking high end" which is the bread and butter of the big > players! Reminds me of some of the players that tried to compete with Intel on high-end x86 processors. Only AMD has been successful at that. Your technical advantages will no longer be advantages by the time you get the product to market. A friend was an engineer at one of the companies that tried it back in the late 486 era. He called that business plan "running ahead of the steamroller". The steamroller doesn't seem to move that fast, so you can run ahead of it for a while, but you get tired before the steamroller does.
On Tue, 2 Mar 2010 11:28:02 -0800 (PST), Eric Smith wrote: >The steamroller doesn't seem to move that fast, so you >can run ahead of it for a while, but you get tired before the >steamroller does. Nicely put, but that way lies stagnation and the ultimate death of our industry. Sometimes there will be a truly novel, industry-regenerating idea out there. No-one can reliably guess which one of the ideas will be that mould-breaker, but it is important to stay aware of the possibilities. There are domains where there appears to have been continuous steady improvement - semiconductor wafer size getting bigger, design rules getting smaller, hard disk capacity getting bigger and cheaper - but those progressive improvements are not truly progressive; they are fuelled by discontinuous changes (the discovery and exploitation of GMR-effect in disk drives, for example). You don't immediately see a huge stepwise change because of these innovations; there's no point in creating something that's 10 times as good as the competition, when something 1.5 times as good will make you rich. So it appears to the casual or ill-informed observer that things just go on getting better without innovation, when in truth it is innovation (and the pull of consumer demand) that drives it all. Good luck to Tabula. They must play the game by the rules, and they are up against unfair odds - just count the number of FPGA vendors, many of them genuinely innovative, who have fallen by the wayside. But they just might be on to something. And, as Austin concludes, they have a dream team. They won't beat Xilinx at their own game, but they just might be writing the rules of a completely new game. -- Jonathan Bromley______________________________
On 2 Mar, 11:22, Symon <symon_bre...@hotmail.com> wrote: > This lot seems to be revealing a bit more about their stuff. > > http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_14493616 > > http://www.tabula.com Looks interesting. Increasing transistor speed with lower power is advancing, but reducing interconnect R and C seems to be at a limit of copper thickness. The copper can be thickened up to limits. The flop 4LUT mux thing with is a 7LUT * 8 with simple time rotary mux may be. Then it's just lower interconnect density and length. Umm have to wait and see. cheers Jacko http://forum.nibzx.co.uk - general technical forum
On Mar 3, 12:22=A0am, Symon <symon_bre...@hotmail.com> wrote: > This lot seems to be revealing a bit more about their stuff. > > http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_14493616 > > http://www.tabula.com Time will tell.... meanwhile, over in the other corners, anyone remember Triscend ? Well, others are having a crack at the same market, but slightly updated, for 2010. See Cypress PSoC5 (Data, no open samples yet) and the just unveiled Actel A2F200 (supposedly real silicon & Eval) These both bundle a FLASH Cortex uC with Analog and FPGA fabric. Sounds great on a marketing-lunch-napkin, but the fish-hook in this has always been price, and the conflict of constrain of Flash.Ram.cells. The sampling smaller sibling, the PSoC3 has moved to ~$20 in price indicators, and the A2F200 is showing ~$40 (no indications yet of the A2F060) You can get a choice of ARM core, for $1-$3, and a choice of CPLD- FPGA for $3-$6, so that single-package-premium really narrows down the customers. -jg______________________________
On Mar 3, 12:22=A0am, Symon <symon_bre...@hotmail.com> wrote: > This lot seems to be revealing a bit more about their stuff. > > http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_14493616 > A better overview is here http://www.eetasia.com/ART_8800599499_499495_NT_b33fb563_2.HTM Some of what Tabula say, reads more like a patent dance, than any technical explanation. So, it is locally 1.6GHz, with time-sliced threads. It might save Logic and routing, but it will have no config-memory saving, and it ADDS the complexity of rapid config multiplex. (not to mention power impacts) We already have Achronix climing 1.5GHz PLDs since 2008, and XMOS have 400-500Mhz hard-time-sliced cores shipping also. Tabula have some rather quaint terminology, as they try to spin what they do, but designers have always tried to do more serially & pipeline, to save resource, if they can. It seems their SW will do the 'thread slice & dice' for you, and that may be the critical point. If that works, and you can debug it, it could be useful. If it fails, it will fail in a tangle. -jg______________________________
On Mar 2, 12:15=A0pm, Jonathan Bromley <jonathan.brom...@MYCOMPANY.com> wrote: > Nicely put, but that way lies stagnation and the > ultimate death of our industry. I wasn't suggesting that it is completely impossible to outrun the steamroller, but if you want a much better chance of doing it, you should try running in a different direction than the steamroller is going. If you are only slightly off the path of the steamroller, maybe it will shift its path a bit to follow you, and maybe not. If your path is significantly different from that of the steamroller, there's a better chance that it will ignore you. Other than AMD, the companies that have any success selling x86 processors are targeting niches that Intel didn't focus much effort on, rather than trying to compete with Intel's mainstream parts. Most of them are targetting embedded and low power designs, where Intel's offerings were traditionally weak, though Intel seems to have become much more interested in those in the last few years. Many of those companies, including the one my friend worked at, started their x86 designs with the intent of competing at the high end, and ultimately realized that they couldn't. If you're going to compete with big FPGA vendors, there had better be something that your FPGA is *significantly* (not just slightly) better at than their parts. Whether Tabula's stuff is sufficiently better remains to be seen. > there's no point in creating something that's 10 times as good as > the competition, when something 1.5 times as good > will make you rich. If you're one of the big players, 1.5 times better might be good enough to gain you a bit of market share, but it rarely is sufficient for a startup to gain traction against the big guys. And startups that plan on being 10x better are often not even 1.5x better by the time they ship product. Successful startups usually have something that is *many* times better than the existing products, on some axis almost entirely orthogonal to the prior metrics. Eric
On Mar 2, 2:28=A0pm, Eric Smith <space...@gmail.com> wrote: > > Reminds me of some of the players that tried to compete with Intel on > high-end x86 processors. =A0Only AMD has been successful at that. =A0 You call that success??? AMD is losing money hand over fist and there is no relief in sight! At one time they played leap frog with Intel in terms of who had the fastest parts, bragging rights and therefore higher average selling prices. But AMD has been sucking wind for more years than the cycles used to take. They are a full generation of process technology behind. They had to sell off their fabs to raise cash to stay afloat. Unless AMD has some really big trick up their sleeve (something better than a one time payment from Intel which makes up for maybe one year's losses) they are going to go the way of Zilog. Personally, I don't see them surviving, at least well enough to actually make an impact in the market. Intel may keep them around just to keep the FTC off their aggressive and illegal pricing backs. Rick______________________________